How every Premier League gameweek 26 fixture should have ended, according to statistics

Manchester City striker Sergio Aguero may have hit a hat-trick against Chelsea in his team’s 6-0 victory at the Etihad Stadium but he also missed an absolute sitter.

Found at the back post, all the Argentinian had to do was slot home with Kepa Arrizabalaga towards the other side of his goal and no defender near him.

Yet in trying to control his effort and place it close to the near post he ended up rustling the side netting.

It’s these moments when expected goals come in handy, according to Understat.com the shot had a value of 0.46, so it wasn’t quite as likely as it seemed.

Still, City romped to a tremendous victory and even the statistics suggest 6-0 wasn’t flattering of Pep Guardiola’s side, suggesting the value of their shots was around 4.04 goals.

But what about the rest of the weekend’s games? Do the results we got reflect what actually happened?

Find out below how every team performed compared to their expected goals in the 24th round of Premier League matches thanks to statistics from Understat.com…

Fulham vs Manchester United

Real result: 0-3
xG result: 2.18-2.11

Crystal Palace vs West Ham United

Real result: 1-1
xG result: 2.47-1.74

Watford vs Everton

Real result: 1-0
xG result: 1.53-0.65

Southampton vs Cardiff City

Real result: 1-2
xG result: 1.64-0.40

Liverpool vs Bournemouth

Real result: 3-0
xG result: 2.53-0.39

Huddersfield Town vs Arsenal

Real result: 1-2
xG result: 1.16-1.79

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley

Real result: 1-3
xG result: 1.27-1.79

Tottenham Hotspur vs Leicester City

Real result: 3-1
xG result: 1.21-2.76

Manchester City vs Chelsea

Real result: 6-0
xG result: 4.04-0.90