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Cook Political Report shifts 7 more races towards Dems

The Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan election forecaster, shifted seven congressional races on Wednesday toward Democrats less than five weeks before the midterm elections.

Cook moved two races that were previously considered “toss-ups” to “lean Democrat.” 

One is the race in Kansas’s 3rd Congressional District, where Rep. Kevin YoderKevin Wayne YoderSharice Davids to vote for Trump impeachment articles: ‘The facts are uncontested’ Feehery: How Republicans can win back the suburbs K Street giants scoop up coveted ex-lawmakers MORE (R) is facing a tough race. The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) has canceled more than $1 million in advertising in the coming weeks that had been aimed at bolstering Yoder’s campaign.

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Cook also reclassified Michigan’s 11th Congressional District as “lean Democrat” after it was previously considered a “toss-up.” Incumbent Rep. David Trott (R) is not seeking reelection, setting up a race between Haley Stevens (D) and Lena Epstein (R).

The site also shifted two races that previously “leaned Republican” to “toss-up.” One involves Rep. Carlos CurbeloCarlos Luis CurbeloTrump, GOP go all-in on anti-China strategy Republicans can’t exploit the left’s climate extremism without a better idea Progressive Latino group launches first incumbent protection campaign MORE’s (R-Fla.) reelection bid, while the other involves Rep. Mia LoveLudmya (Mia) LoveThe biggest political upsets of the decade Former GOP lawmaker: Trump’s tweets have to stop Congressional Women’s Softball team releases roster MORE’s (R-Utah) campaign for a third term. Both are considered young, rising stars in the GOP.

Meanwhile, Rep. John KatkoJohn Michael KatkoBipartisan group demands House prioritize communities of color in coronavirus relief bill Expanding tax credit for businesses retaining workers gains bipartisan support States plead for cybersecurity funds as hacking threat surges MORE (R) had his race moved from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican” amid a challenge from Democrat Dana Balter in New York’s 24th Congressional District.

Balter recently announced that she raised more than $1.5 million in the last quarter, according to multiple reports.

Cook also shifted seats held by Reps. Justin AmashJustin AmashOver 1,400 pro athletes, coaches call on Congress to back bill ending qualified immunity House Democrats set to introduce proposed ban on chemical weapons Mark Cuban says he’s decided not to run for president MORE (R-Mich.) and Elise StefanikElise Marie StefanikBipartisan House bill seeks to improve pandemic preparedness The Hill’s Coronavirus Report: Mastercard CEO Ajay Banga says supporting small business single most important thing we should do now; Teva’s Brendan O’Grady says U.S. should stockpile strategic reserve in drugs like Strategic Oil Reserve House GOP to launch China probes beyond COVID-19 MORE (R-N.Y.) from “solid Republican” to “likely Republican,” meaning that the districts could come into play in the case of massive Democratic gains in November. 

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Republicans are attempting to stave off a Democratic effort to retake control of the House and Senate in November.

Democrats need to pick up a net 23 seats in the House to reclaim the majority, and must have a net gain of two seats in the Senate to secure a majority there.

A RealClearPolitics average of generic congressional ballot polls shows Democrats with a roughly 7-point lead.

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